Special Reports

Child Mortality Crisis Persists: Nearly 5 Million Under-Fives Dead in 2024, UN Warns of Stalled Progress

UNITED NATIONS, New York — In a devastating reminder of the world’s failure to protect its most vulnerable, nearly 5 million children under the age of five perished in 2024 from diseases and conditions that modern medicine has long known how to prevent. The latest estimates from the United Nations, released Tuesday, paint a sobering picture of stalled progress, widening inequities, and a global health system buckling under the weight of conflict, climate shocks, and shrinking budgets.

According to the Levels and Trends in Child Mortality report—compiled by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME), which includes UNICEF, the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Bank, and the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA)—a total of 4.9 million children under five died in 2024. Among them, 2.3 million were newborns who survived barely a month before succumbing to complications that skilled birth attendants and basic neonatal care could have prevented.

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While global under-five mortality has halved since 2000—a testament to decades of vaccination campaigns, nutrition programs, and health system expansions—the pace of progress has collapsed. Since 2015, the annual rate of reduction has slowed by a staggering 60 percent. At this trajectory, the world will miss the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target of ending preventable child deaths by 2030 by a wide margin.

“No child should die from diseases we know how to prevent,” said Catherine Russell, Executive Director of UNICEF, in a statement accompanying the report. “Yet millions continue to perish because of where they are born, the fragility of their country’s health system, or simply because their government—or the international community—has failed to prioritize their survival.”


The Geography of Grief: Sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia Bear the Brunt

The burden of child mortality is not shared equally. The UN report reveals a stark geographic divide: 58 percent of all under-five deaths occurred in sub-Saharan Africa, while 25 percent were concentrated in Southern Asia. Together, these two regions account for more than eight out of every ten child deaths globally.

Countries such as Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Niger, and Nigeria face the highest mortality rates, driven by a lethal combination of weak health infrastructure, recurrent conflict, and climate-induced displacement. In these nations, a child is more than 20 times likelier to die before their fifth birthday than a child in a high-income country.

There are, however, bright spots. India, which for decades carried one of the world’s heaviest child mortality burdens, has demonstrated what sustained political commitment can achieve. Through scaled-up investments in neonatal care, routine immunization, and community health worker programs, India has recorded significant declines in under-five deaths. Yet even as India’s numbers improve, the sheer population size of Southern Asia ensures that the region remains a critical front in the fight for child survival.


The Hidden Killer: Severe Acute Malnutrition Takes Direct Aim

For the first time, this year’s UN IGME report includes a specific quantification of deaths directly attributable to severe acute malnutrition (SAM) —a condition often described as the silent killer lurking behind other diseases. The findings are harrowing: more than 100,000 children aged between one month and five years died from severe acute malnutrition alone in 2024.

The hardest-hit countries include Pakistan, Somalia, and Sudan, where famine-like conditions, collapsing health systems, and aid restrictions have created a perfect storm of hunger and disease. But these figures represent only the direct deaths. Malnutrition is a multiplier of misery: it weakens immune systems, making children far more vulnerable to the infections that ultimately claim their lives.

Indeed, infectious diseases remain the primary killers of children beyond the newborn period. Pneumonia, diarrhea, and malaria together account for 43 percent of all under-five deaths in children aged one month to five years. These are not mysterious illnesses. They are treatable with antibiotics, oral rehydration salts, insecticide-treated bed nets, and vaccines that cost mere dollars per dose.

Yet the report notes with alarm that progress against these diseases has stalled—and in some regions, reversed. Antimicrobial resistance is rendering once-reliable antibiotics ineffective against childhood pneumonia. Climate change is expanding the range of malaria-carrying mosquitoes into previously unaffected highland areas. And conflict continues to disrupt vaccination campaigns, leaving millions of children dangerously exposed.


Newborns: The Most Vulnerable, The Most Neglected

Nearly half of all under-five deaths—47 percent, or 2.3 million—occur in the first 28 days of life. These are newborns who never make it to their first birthday, often dying on the very day they are born. The leading causes—preterm birth complications, birth asphyxia (lack of oxygen at delivery), and neonatal sepsis—are eminently preventable with skilled birth attendance, basic resuscitation equipment, and clean delivery practices.

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Yet in many low-income countries, a woman giving birth faces a brutal calculus. She may live hours from the nearest health facility. The facility may lack electricity, running water, or a trained midwife. And even if she reaches care, the cost of delivery—both formal fees and unofficial bribes—may be beyond her means.

The slow pace of progress on newborn survival is one of the report’s most troubling findings. While under-five mortality overall has declined significantly since 2000, neonatal mortality has fallen at a much slower rate. Without accelerating action on newborn health, the SDG target of reducing neonatal mortality to 12 deaths per 1,000 live births will remain out of reach for more than 60 countries.


Beyond Infancy: Children and Adolescents Aged 5–24

The report also expands its lens to capture mortality among older children and young people—a group often overlooked in global health discussions. In 2024, an estimated 2.1 million children and young people aged 5 to 24 lost their lives.

For adolescent girls aged 10 to 19, self-harm emerged as the leading cause of death, a stark reminder of the growing mental health crisis among young people worldwide. For adolescent boys, road traffic injuries topped the list—a reflection of unsafe roads, lack of protective infrastructure, and the disproportionate risks faced by young men in low-income countries.

These deaths are not inevitable. Mental health services, road safety measures, and injury prevention programs have proven effective in wealthier nations, but remain underfunded and inaccessible in much of the world.


Conflict, Fragility, and the Funding Gap

If there is a common thread running through the UN report’s findings, it is this: children in conflict zones are three times more likely to die before their fifth birthday than children in peaceful settings. War destroys health infrastructure, displaces families, blocks humanitarian access, and creates conditions where malnutrition and infectious disease flourish.

Sub-Saharan Africa’s 58 percent share of global under-five deaths cannot be understood without acknowledging the conflicts raging across the Sahel, the Great Lakes region, and the Horn of Africa. From Sudan, where civil war has pushed millions to the brink of famine, to the Democratic Republic of Congo, where armed groups routinely attack health facilities, conflict is the ultimate multiplier of child mortality.

At the same time, the global funding landscape for maternal and child health is deteriorating. Development assistance for health has stagnated, and several major donor governments have signaled cuts to bilateral aid programs. The UN report warns that without sustained investment—particularly in primary healthcare, community health workers, and routine immunization—the gains of the past two decades could be reversed.

“This is a stark reminder that progress is fragile,” said Li Junhua, UN Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs. “Political will, investment in primary healthcare, and stronger data systems are urgently needed. We cannot afford to look away.”


A Call to Action: What Must Change

The solutions to the child mortality crisis are neither mysterious nor prohibitively expensive. Vaccines exist for the diseases that kill most children. Oral rehydration salts cost pennies and can stop diarrhea from becoming a death sentence. Antibiotics can cure pneumonia. Insecticide-treated bed nets dramatically reduce malaria transmission. Skilled birth attendants, kangaroo mother care for preterm infants, and clean delivery kits can save hundreds of thousands of newborns each year.

What is missing is not technology but political will, sustained financing, and a commitment to equity. The UN report calls on governments and donors to:

  • Accelerate action on newborn health, which has lagged behind other areas.
  • Integrate malnutrition treatment into routine child health services.
  • Strengthen primary healthcare systems to reach the most marginalized communities.
  • Prioritize child survival in humanitarian settings, ensuring that conflict and climate disasters do not become automatic death sentences for children.
  • Invest in data systems to track mortality trends and target interventions effectively.

“Renewed commitment is not optional,” the report concludes. “For millions of children at risk, the window of opportunity narrows with every passing day.”


Looking Ahead: Can the World Deliver by 2030?

As 2026 unfolds, the question facing the global community is whether it can reverse the slowdown and get back on track to meet the SDG target of ending preventable child deaths by 2030. The goal—an under-five mortality rate of 25 or fewer deaths per 1,000 live births, and a neonatal mortality rate of 12 or fewer—remains achievable, but only with an urgent and sustained acceleration.

For the 4.9 million children who died in 2024, it is too late. For the millions more who will enter their first year of life in 2026, the world still has a chance to act. The tools exist. The knowledge exists. What remains to be seen is whether the world has the will to use them.

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Akhtar Badana

Akhtar Badana can be reached at https://x.com/akhtarbadana

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